According to well-known tipster Greymon55, the prices of NVIDIA and AMD’s graphics cards should see a massive drop next month, beginning the race to normalization after nearly two years of unrest. At the moment, the higher-end GeForce RTX 30 and Radeon RX 6000 SKUs are priced around 50% over the MSRP, with budget offerings seeing a close to 2x increment. If this rumor is true, then we should see the RTX 3080/3090 and the Radeon RX 6800 XT/6900 XT drop to 20-30% of their official MSRPs.
As for why the prices of graphics cards may drop next month, the primary reason is the end of the present GPU cycle. Both NVIDIA and AMD are planning to launch their next-gen RDNA 3 and Lovelace architectures sometime in the third quarter of the year. Therefore, vendors may be looking to get rid of stockpiles or any unnecessary stock that they might have left.
At the same time, considering how limited the shipments of the latest GPUs have been, this may not be the case. The other potential possibility is the strengthening of the supply chain. A significant amount of ABF substrate capacity is slated to come online in the coming months. In case you weren’t aware, ABF is one of the key components of modern microprocessors, and also the primary bottlenecks hindering production over the past year or so.